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There are mock drafts and then there are big boards, which are much more important when analyzing what happened in the NFL Draft as we try to make sense of it all. When we talk about the value of a pick, a good pick versus a bad one, that’s what it really comes down to. Was it a good value, were there better players that the franchise will regret having passed on?
More importantly than just that there are also tiers in every draft. The top tiers and the bottom tiers and those differences can have a big impact on how teams make their selections. Remember the Denver Broncos selecting Bradley Roby in the late first round despite having lots of cornerbacks already on their roster? They did that because he was the only first round graded player they had left available to them. That’s where tiers matter and shape teams draft classes.
So with that here are our top 200 prospects (actually 211 but who’s counting, that’s the beauty of a tier after all) from the elite’s to the day three gems and why they all got grouped this way.
Note, as we’ve done in all our rankings, players whose draft stock is lowered by off-field concerns are delineated with an asterisk(*).
Tier 1 – Elite Prospects (Top 5 in most drafts — franchise cornerstones)
There are only two elite prospects in the 2017 class which’s fairly deep in the top tiers but not necessarily here. Garrett is a logical choice as he plays a premium position with a great combination of athleticism and size, not to mention production. Even in the worst case scenario, if healthy, he’ll be a star player.
Hooker might be a surprise as an only one-year starter but his range is elite and having a center fielding type safety as the last line of defense with his talents is a huge plus. His upside is unbelievable and he could really be one of the best two or three safeties that we’ve seen in the league this millennium – he’s a playmaker with absurd ball skills. That’s an elite talent.
1. Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M
2. Malik Hooker, FS, Ohio State
Tier 2 – 1st Rounders (High-level starters)
These are projected early starters who typically go in the first round and this group is deep with 24 prospects in the mix. The top nine really stand out and were considered as elite prospects but they all have small deficiencies that kept them out. The bottom 10 through 24 are very intriguing players who check lots of boxes.
Guys like Foster, Peppers, and Jones because of off-field issues and injury problems could have easily slipped in the next tier but their tape holds them up here. They have however slipped as all were higher before their incidents this offseason.
These aren’t necessarily perfect prospects but the elite tools are too much to not keep them in the first round and expect great things early on.
3. Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU
4. Jonathan Allen, DE, Alabama
5. Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State
6. Solomon Thomas, DE, Stanford
7. Jamal Adams, SS, LSU
8. Takkarist McKinley, EDGE, UCLA
9. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford
10. Dalvin Cook, RB, Florida State*
11. Reuben Foster, ILB, Alabama*
12. O.J. Howard, TE, Alabama
13. Haason Reddick, OLB, Temple
14. Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan
15. Sidney Jones, CB, Washington
16. Evan Engram, TE/WR, Ole Miss
17. Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee
18. DeShaun Watson, QB, Clemson
19. Jabrill Peppers, DB, Michigan
20. Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama
21. Taco Charlton, DE, Michigan
22. David Njoku, TE, Miami
23. Budda Baker, FS, Washington
24. Chidobe Awuzie, DB, Colorado
Tier 3 – Late first and early second round talents (Projected starters with the upside for more)
This group is really the meaty section of this draft class as this is where you can hit a few home runs but not without risk. Some players in this tier are raw, while others are held back by more serious red-flags off the field, injuries, or on-field inconsistencies.
While the upside is great for most of the group and they all have been considered for Tier-2 there’s also more bust potential in this group.
But there’ll be several out of this bunch that could out play their draft stock and end up being much better players than their counterparts in Tier-2. King, Mixon, Foreman, Williams, McDowell, Witherspoon, and Melifonwu are the top candidates to do so.
25. Ryan Ramczyk, LT, Wisconsin
26. Kevin King, DB, Washington
27. Gareon Conley, CB, Ohio State*
28. Carl Lawson, DE, Auburn
29. John Ross, WR, Washington
30. Curtis Samuel, WR/RB, Ohio State
31. Tre’Davious White, CB, LSU
32. Forrest Lamp, OG, Western Kentucky
33. Joe Mixon, RB, Oklahoma*
34. Jarrad Davis, OLB, Florida
35. JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, USC
36. D’Onta Foreman, RB, Texas
37. Mike Williams, WR, Clemson
38. Mitchell Trubisky, QB, UNC
39. T.J. Watt, EDGE, Wisconsin
40. Malik McDowell, DL, Michigan State*
41. Eddie Jackson, FS, Alabama
42. Ahkello Witherspoon, CB, Colorado
43. Derek Rivers, EDGE, Youngstown State
44. Tim Williams, OLB/EDGE, Alabama*
45. Tedric Thompson, FS, Colorado
46. Charles Harris, EDGE, Missouri
47. Zach Cunningham, LB, Vanderbilt
48. Quincy Wilson, CB, Florida
49. Garett Bolles, OT, Utah
50. Obi Melifonwu, S, Uconn
51. Cam Robinson, OT, Alabama*
Tier 4 – Second rounders (immediate contributors, expected starters within the first two seasons)
The NFL expects to get starters in the second round, or at the very least rotational players who can be plugged in to start by year two. That’s the plan at least. This is another good group though again the risks become greater and the projection is a bit more.
This tier’s a bit split there are some prospects with high upside but raw skills – Kamara, Kizer, Hodges, Adoree, and Mahomes are great examples of this. While others are here because they have the skills to be solid starters though their ceilings might not be super high – Wormely fits that description to perfection, as does Feeney, Pocic, and Dawkins. Again, this is a fairly deep group.
52. Marlon Mack, RB, South Florida
53. ArDarius Stewart, WR, Alabama
54. Trey Hendrickson, EDGE, Florida Atlantic
55. Jamaal Williams, RB, BYU
56. Fabian Moreau, CB, UCLA
57. Montravius Adams, DT, Auburn
58. Chris Wormley, DT, Michigan
59. Brian Hill, RB, Wyoming
60. Tarik Cohen, RB, North Carolina A&T
61. Alvin Kamara, RB, Tennessee
62. Cordrea Tankersley, CB, Clemson
63. Bucky Hodges, TE, Virginia Tech
64. Josh Jones, S, NC State
65. Adoree Jackson, CB/WR/PR, USC
66. Dede Westbrook, WR, Oklahoma*
67. Antonio Garcia, OT, Troy
68. DeShone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame
69. Taylor Moton, RT, Western Michigan
70. Wayne Gallman, RB, Clemson
71. Jordan Willis, EDGE, Kansas State
72. Raekwon McMillan, ILB, Ohio Sate
73. Jalen ‘Teez’ Tabor, CB, Florida
74. Jourdan Lewis, CB, Michigan*
75. Marcus Williams, S, Utah
76. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Texas Tech
77. Dan Feeney, OG, Indiana
78. Marcus Maye, FS, Florida
79. Tarell Basham, DE, Ohio
80. Chris Godwin, WR, Penn State
81. Justin Evans, FS, Texas A&M
82. Ethan Pocic, OC, LSU
83. Dion Dawkins, OT, Temple
84. Gerald Everett, TE, South Alabama
Tier 5 – Third round talents (should be starters within the first three seasons)
There’s lots of projection here as these guys will require some coaching. But again in the third round, you’re supposed to be finding future starters, guys who you can be thrown into the fire by year three and decide what to do with by year four when their contracts are up.
There’s plenty of upside in this group but also a decent amount of inconsistencies. These guys also need to be put in the right situation to succeed as they’re not nearly as system versatile as the guys in the top tier were.
85. Steven Taylor, OLB, Houston
86. Caleb Brantley, DT, Florida*
87. Jarron Jones, DT, Notre Dame
88. Jaleel Johnson, DT, Iowa
89. Damontae Kazee, CB, San Diego State
90. Taywan Taylor, WR, Western Kentucky
91. Jake Butt, TE, Michigan
92. Rasul Douglas, CB, West Virginia
93. Cooper Kupp, WR, Eastern Washington
94. Joe Williams, RB, Utah
95. Tyus Bowser, OLB, Houston
96. Zay Jones, WR, East Carolina
97. Nico Siragusa, OG, San Diego State
98. Ryan Anderson, OLB, Alabama
99. Amara Darboh, WR, Michigan
100. Jordan Leggett, TE, Clemson
101. Adam Shaheen, TE, Ashland
102. Elijah Qualls, DT, Washington
103. Desmond King, CB, Iowa
104. Dalvin Tomlinson, NT, Alabama
105. Cameron Sutton, CB, Tennessee
106. Kareem Hunt, RB, Toledo
107. Anthony Walker Jr., ILB, Northwestern
108. Carlos Henderson, WR, Louisiana Tech
109. Dawuane Smoot, EDGE, Illinois
110. Daeshon Hall, DE, Texas A&M
111. Dorian Johnson, OG, Pittsburgh
112. Pat Elfin, OC/OG, Ohio St
Tier 6 – Day three gems (projects who will be important contributors in the bottom half of NFL rosters)
Guys who fit on special teams are at a premium at this point. Guys with upside to be a steal are also at a premium here. There’s also a decent amount of players who might not have ideal measurable or athletic skills but in one way or another within the right scheme, they could succeed at the NFL level.
Every year there are great players out of this group don’t think 2017 will be any different. Note, over 300 players will be drafted so there are many more players off this list worth considering but these are the top guys to target in day three.
113. Vince Biegel, EDGE, Wisconsin
114. Malachi Dupre, WR, LSU
115. Chad Hansen, WR, Cal
116. Isaac Asiata, OG, Utah
117. Xavier Woods, FS, Louisiana Tech
118. Elijah Lee, LB, Kansas State
119. Tanner Vallejo, OLB, Boise State
120. Carlos Watkins, DT, Clemson
121. Jalen Reeves-Maybin, OLB, Tennessee
122. Eddie Vanderdoes, DT, UCLA
123. Corn Elder, CB, Miami
124. Noah Brown, WR, Ohio State
125. Jonnu Smith, TE, Florida International
126. Nazair Jones, DT, UNC
127. Isaac Rochelle, DE, Notre Dame
128. Austin Ekeler, RB/WR, Western State Colorado
129. De’Angelo Henderson, RB, Coastal Carolina
130. Jeremy McNichols, RB, Boise State
131. Ryan Switzer, WR, North Carolina
132. Matthew Dayes, RB, NC State
133. Samson Ebukam, OLB, Eastern Washington
134. Carroll Phillips, EDGE, Illinois
135. Montae Nicholson, S, Michigan State
136. James Connor, RB, Pittsburgh
137. Charles Walker, DT, Oklahoma
138. Pharaoh Brown, TE, Oregon
139. Samaje Perine, RB, Oklahoma
140. Cole Hikutini, TE, Louisville
141. Devonte Fields, OLB/EDGE, Louisville
142. Jeremy Sprinkle, TE, Arkansas
143. George Kittle, TE, Iowa
144. T.J. Logan, RB, UNC
145. Tanoh Kpassagnon, DE, Villanova
146. K.D. Cannon, WR, Baylor
147. Josh Reynolds, WR, Texas A&M
148. Davis Webb, QB, Cal
149. Dylan Cole, ILB, Missouri State
150 Dare Ogunbowale, RB, Wisconsin
151.Alex Anzalone, LB, Florida
152. Corey Clement, RB, Wisconsin
153. Isaiah Ford, WR, Virginia Tech
154. Rodrick Johnson, OT, FSU
155. Howard Wilson, CB, Houston
156. John Johnson, FS, Boston College
157. Channing Stribling, CB, Michigan
158. Gabe Marks, WR, Washington State
159. Jehu Chesson, WR, Michigan
160. Tanzel Smart, DT, Tulane
161. Jermaine Eluemunor, RT, Texas A&M
162. Larry Ogunjobi, DT, Charlotte
163. Ryan Glasgow, DT, Michigan
164. Davon Godchaux, DT, LSU
165. Nate Gerry, S, Nebraska
166. Delano Hill, SS, Michigan
167. Brad Kaya, QB, Miami
168. Julie’n Davenport, LT, Bucknell
169. Deatrich Wise Jr., DE, Arkansas
170. Andreas Knappe, OT, Uconn
171. Colin Buchanan, RT, Miami (Ohio)
172. Ejuan Price, EDGE, Pittsburgh
173. Adam Bisnowaty, OT, Pitt
174. Stacy Coley, WR, Miami
175. Travis Rudolph, WR, Florida State
176. Travin Dural, WR, LSU
177. Damien Mama, OG, USC
178. Sean Harlow, OG, Oregon State
179. Tyler Orlosky, OC, West Virginia
180. Danny Isidora, OG, Miami
181. Brendan Langley, CB/WR, Lamar
182. Damore’ea Stringfellow, WR, Ole Miss*
183. Michael Roberts, TE, Toledo
184. Brian Allen, CB, Utah
185. Des Lawrence, CB, UNC
186. Paul Magloire, SS, Arizona
187. Victor Bolden, WR, Oregon State
188. Jalen Robinette, WR, Air Force
189. Darrell Daniels, TE, Washington
190. Eric Saubert, TE, Drake
191. Chad Kelly, QB, Ole Miss*
192. Duke Riley, LB, LSU
193. Garrett Sickels, EDGE, Penn State
194. Pita Taumoepenu, EDGE, Utah
195. Darius English, EDGE, South Carolina
196. Skai Moore, WLB, South Carolina
197. Jimmie Gilbert, OLB, Colorado
198. Joe Mathis, EDGE, Washington
199. Al-Quadin Muhammad, EDGE, Miami*
200. Kendell Beckwith, ILB, LSU
201. Jordan Morgan, OG, Kutztown
202. Sefo Liufau, QB, Colorado
203. Jonathan Ford, FS, Auburn
204. Weston Steelhammer, SS, Air Force
205. Aaron Jones, RB, UTEP
206. Elijah Hood, RB, UNC
207. Artavis Scott, WR, Clemson
208. David Sharpe, OT, Florida
209. Dan Skipper, OT, Arkansas
210. Conor McDermott, OT, UCLA