Funny what a couple of years can do in the NHL.
It wasn’t that long ago that Joe Sakic was in the shadow of the impetuous attitude of Patrick Roy, his former teammate back during their glory-filled playing day. Their management structure didn’t last long and yielded almost disastrous results.
Their parting of ways left their pet project, the Colorado Avalanche, caught in a limbo that it appeared would take years to recover from.
Thanks to some uncanny patience, one particular trade request, and a windfall so enormous it’s still hard to believe it took place, Sakic has emerged as one of the league’s coolest customers.
And as the trade deadline approaches, he’s become one of the most important customers in a shopping market full of overpriced, suddenly-unwanted NHL players.
As teams have felt the rush to make the right move, league business isn’t waiting until Monday’s deadline to pull the trigger. Veteran defensemen who probably won’t sniff 20 minutes of ice time in the postseason are fetching top-100 draft picks left and right.
Blake Coleman landing in Tampa Bay kickstarted the movement of forwards. The expectation is there are a handful more to come.
And that’s where we come back around to Joe Cool himself.
Meeting with media minutes before puck drop of a game his team would win running away, Sakic made his intentions clear: We’re working. We’re interested. We want to get better. We are not desperate.
Beyond the admission of wanting to add a depth goaltender (Hunter Miska remains the backup for now so this isn’t a big surprise), Sakic talked more about what he wasn’t interested than what he was.
This is a man who, when Roy departed, had an organization near the bottom of the league in prospects, built a team that would put up 48 whole points in the first post-Roy season, and no longer was viewed as a destination by free agents around the league.
Those days? Those days are over.
He’s got cap space, a top-five farm system, and inarguably a top-10 NHL team that also happens to be one of the league’s youngest. It would seem he has it all.
But there’s a shopping list. Sakic is willing to pay the price to improve his chances of lifting the Stanley Cup as an executive after doing it twice as a player. But that willingness to spend has its limits and he made that clear on Wednesday night.
Whatever machinations opposing teams (and their trade-thirsty fans on social media) might have had on prying Bowen Byram, Alex Newhook, or Conor Timmins from Sakic’s grasp should likely be laid to rest now. Sakic plans to protect the extremely bright future he’s built for this team.
Beyond that, Sakic left the door open for dabbling in the rental market as well as trading his first round pick. He mentioned maintaining long-term flexibility because a healthy dose of expensive contracts is coming down the pipeline for the Avs.
There’s a micro view focused on today. There’s a thousand-foot view that has to consider the next five years. All of that comes together at the trade deadline as the team balances the concept of mortgaging future assets for today’s gain and staying the course of what is already a very competitive present.
Middle ground move
This is basically the J.G. Pageau move. He can fill in as your 2C while Kadri heals, then shift to 3C when he’s healthy. A rising tide raises all boats kind of situation, Pageau is having a career year on a bad team that lacks better options in their top six.
That experience allows him to moonlight in Denver as MacKinnon’s running mate until Kadri’s return. When that happens, they end up with MacKinnon/Kadri/Pageau/Bellemare down the middle and that is (do the sassy finger snap thing with me now!) nasty.
Thornton could also fit in here because he’s clearly not a top option anymore but would only be asked to play on Colorado’s second line temporarily before shifting down into the bottom six and onto PP2.
This all depends on the price but none of these guys should fetch a real pretty penny. Only dirty pennies in this category. Especially if you found them in Thornton’s beard.
Proceed like normal
This is basically the “do nothing” option mentioned above. Believe in the guys you have to get you by until the team starts to get healthy. Because of the timelines of the injuries, it’s easy to feel confident in trusting ‘your guys’ when the postseason begins and they’re all back in the lineup.
But the Avs needed a forward upgrade anyway. They were involved in the Blake Coleman conversations before Tampa Bay overpaid for him and then watched Stadium Series hero Tyler Toffoli go to the Vancouver Canucks, who are pushing for the Pacific Division title this year.
That’s two big pieces off the forward trade board before next Monday. Chris Kreider is still out there as the obvious big name. If Colorado does that, makes the postseason, and then gets entirely healthy while adding Kreider to the lineup?
They’re going to be a very tough out if that’s the case. That sounds like fun.
Go huge, go all-in
Don’t do this. Colorado is at the beginning of their contention window. This would be bold (and I do love when GMs buck their conservative nature and go ham) but it would be unwise.
The Avs have a boatload of fun and intriguing prospects, several of whom are very close to the NHL. No need to go burning through those to get significantly older, maybe not much better, and certainly more expensive just because you can.
It would be like showing up at a yard sale with $100 in your pocket and deciding to spend all of it simply because you could. This is what teams do in free agency, but worse because it’s the trade deadline.
The last aspect I want to talk about here is the present. We talk so much about the future, how bright it is, how they’ve positioned themselves beautifully to win the Stanley Cup someday. But it’s always someday.
I’m not saying the Avs are Cup-favorites right now with all of the injuries but if they really do return to good health in time for the first round of the playoffs, they have a meaningful shot to make some real noise.
In no way am I advocating for blowing a hole in the future (which is still damn bright, yessum), but they can afford to be aggressive in spots. This isn’t about mortgaging the future, it’s about building the present.
And I think it can be really easy to get lost in obsessing over smart planning for the future.
This year still matters.
Think of all a guy like Matt Nieto has put into helping change this organization. He was claimed off waivers and put on a line with Matt Duchene immediately! He has gone through hell with these guys and now suddenly the organization wants to horde mid-round draft picks while he stares down the barrel of UFA and another organization?
I’m not saying they have to go all-in to “win it for Matt” or anything like that. Just saying that the front office owes it to the players (far beyond Nieto, of course) who have poured all they have into this season to take that seriously and not just assume they’ll have more kicks at the can in the future.
No. Joe Sakic & Co. has put this team together to try to win the 2020 Stanley Cup. The west is as vulnerable as ever without a true blue contender out there to scare them, why should Colorado try to play it completely safe?
This. Year. Still. Matters.
You look at Nashville and Winnipeg. Two years ago, they faced off in an excellent conference semi-final for the right to get waxed by the Vegas expansion year buzzsaw. Their windows looked neverending.
Today, both are trying to climb over each other for merely a wild card spot. The future is inevitable. Colorado’s bright future, however, is not. It has to be managed carefully but it is not always a given.
The here, the now matters, too, and let’s not get so obsessed with the idea of Colorado trying to win the 2024 Stanley Cup that they forget it’s being awarded this year, too.
Where Colorado ultimately goes at this year’s deadline will be fascinating and could have ramifications for years to come. With all the cards in Sakic’s hand, the future of the Avs, and maybe the Western Conference, is in play.
For the first time since Pierre Lacroix was still general manager, the league runs at least partially through Colorado.

0 Comments (8 conversations)
Avsfandownsouth
AJ, have always enjoyed your writing. Thank you! What do you think it would take to get Kreider? I’d hate to see Z leave, but does it take him, our first and Kaut/Bowers?
Id probably start somewhere along the lines of Jost/1st and go from there.
J. Fritts
Hell of an article. You are one bad man, AJ.
bobmonh
Good article AJ. Help me out here…when we saw Timmons have his cup of coffee at the beginning of the season, was I the only one who thought he looked slow? You’ve seen him more than me, but I’ve never thought of him as untouchable as others seem to. If other teams covet him, wouldn’t he be worth trading in a package for Kreider or Tatar? You still have Byrum coming, Graves is improving, Girard, Makar, and Helleson on the farm who was getting some good reviews a while back, wouldn’t a Timmons trade be a good balance of giving something to get something? Just a thought from the cheap seats.
You’re talking about giving up the next six years or so of Timmins for either 20 games of Kreider or 100 games of Tatar (not including playoffs). Timmins isn’t the caliber of prospect as Makar was or Byram is but he’s still damn good. A likely top-four defender in the NHL. His skating is certainly the biggest downside of his game as he can get beat wide at times but the same is true of Ryan Graves right now. High IQ can take you a long way in the NHL and there may not be a smarter player in Colorado’s entire system than Timmins. You can make an argument that with Byram coming, he’s certainly the odd-man-out of the youngsters and might be more valuable as a trade piece. Or, you just see what you have and try to build a top four that stays together for at least five years, potentially more. They’re in rare air here.
ThePhotoGorilla
I would ask any fans considering Krieder to keep in mind he is from Massachusetts and has said he wants to remain a Ranger or go to an east cost team. The fact that the Bruins are a top contender for him, and the high prices that are already being paid for others, likely makes his price too high for Joe to legitimately chase him.
RJJ42
Well written and entertaining.
Fsmcnab
Love this article, AJ! Great writing and a bunch of great observations and insights. I particularly agree with the last piece about seizing the opportunity that is right in front of them this year. I remember 1996 when the Wings were the overwhelming favorite to hoist the cup and Colorado cut the line to take it from them. It’s never too early to deliver on promise- and this team has promise to burn. The roster is cheap, and cashing in on that never comes too soon. The longer the team doesn’t deliver, the more the pressure mounts and the costs accrue. The time is now. Why not us?
bjjones05
In Sakic We Trust. He is patient and that’s what he needs to be.
Well written article, AJ!!
ColoradoFanOxford
An admission. I was totally against signing Nuke last summer fearing he would just keep talent from rising up to take their spot. Huge mea culpa. How desperate would this team be given it’s injury issues had Joe not spent what he has plenty of (cap space) to bring in a “rental” for no draft/talent cost. Sure better than Broussard.
So he has already stacked this team once, spending 2nd round picks to do it. For me the injuries return time matters. If we see Kaut and maybe Bowers show they can be net positives in the bottom 6, and we still get back Grubauer,
Kadri and Mikko…maybe we don’t need to trade. Plus Mikko and Kadri will be rested. It’s just so hard to know since it seems every year we get some player no one counted on carrying a team to the Cup finals. I would grab a Thorton type who brings more experience and grit, but the big 3 prospects are off limits.