The DNVR Avalanche Podcast closes the week with Nathan Rudolph and AJ Haefele mock drafting through the Avs pick at 27 in the first round, looking at how the draft may shake out and some of their favorites around the Avs pick.

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1. (DET) Alexis Lafrenière
2. (OTT) Quinton Byfield
3. (OTT) Lucas Raymond
4. (LAK) Tim Stützle
5. (ANA) Jamie Drysdale
6. (NJD) Alexander Holtz
7. (BUF) Cole Perfetti
8: (MTL) Marco Rossi
9. (CHI) Jack Quinn
10. (NJD) Jake Sanderson
11. (MIN) Connor Zary
12. (WPG) Braden Schneider
13. (NYR) Anton Lundell
14. (FLA) Dawson Mercer
15 (CBJ) Yaroslav Askarov
16. (CGY) Dylan Holloway
17. (NJD) Kaiden Ghule
18. (NSH) Hendrix Lapierre
19. (CAR) Rodion Amirov
20. (EDM): Helge Grans
21. (OTT) Mavrik Bourque
22. (DAL) Noel Gunler
23. (NYR) Seth Jarvis
24. (MIN) William Wallinder
25. (PHI): Jérémie Poirier
26. (SJS) Jacob Perreault
27. (COL) Brendan Brisson

  • Saw someone claim recently (can’t remember who or where) that Jack Hughes had the worst rookie season for a #1 overall since Patrik Stefan. I know that the cult of personality around him all couched their bets by saying he was the type of player who probably wouldn’t have a great first season but did any of them think it would be as bad as it was? Every time I saw him he looked defensively inept and not able to make any sort of impression offensively.

    • Nobody had ever made the jump from the USHL to the NHL before so the expectation was a tough go of it in year one. I said I expected him to have a Stamkos-esque first year and even that proved to be a little too much to handle. It was always going to be a major adjustment for him.

      Underlying numbers show he definitely struggled but also got very unlucky along the way (anecdotally, I remember him being on the wrong end of multiple “save of the night” candidates throughout the year) as the Devils had an on-ice shooting % of just 5(!!) with Hughes out there. For comparison’s sake, Mikko Rantanen’s rookie year on one of the worst/unluckiest offensive teams in recent NHL history was buoyed by an on-ice shooting percentage of 8.06.

      There’s a lot of work to be done and this pandemic might put a dagger in some key development opportunities so year two may not be a major leap, either. It’s obviously still early but for a small player who was going to struggle with increased physicality, it wasn’t a surprise to see him struggle the way he did.

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