This is an audio story, meaning that BSN Denver subscribers can listen to it if they don’t have time to stop and read it in its entirety. We would love to know what you think about it in the comments. Enjoy!
Joe Sakic is at it again. For the seventh time in his time as general manager and third in the last 12 months, Sakic has traded draft picks in exchange for immediate NHL help.
Using the third round pick they acquired earlier in the week from Arizona in exchange for Carl Soderberg, the Avalanche added their own 2020 second round pick and minor league free agent Scott Kosmachuk into a package sent to the Washington Capitals in exchange for Andre Burakovsky.
Burakovsky, 24, is an interesting addition to a lineup in search of additional scoring punch beyond its top three forwards. Coming off back-to-back 25-point seasons (12g, 13a in each), Burakovsky’s addition is certainly no guarantee of improved scoring.
The young Swede has struggled with injuries, never playing a full 82 games in his five NHL seasons to date. He’s especially struggled with injuries to his hands as he’s suffered multiple broken bones in his hands the last couple years, hindering what appeared to be an upward trajectory.
The Washington Post has reported that Burakovsky had requested a trade from the Capitals in recent days and despite general manager Brian McLellan saying publicly he wanted to keep him, it was obvious the price point of his qualifying offer ($3.25 million) was simply too high given his stagnant production.
Burakovsky comes to Colorado after being tendered his QO, meaning the Avalanche retain his rights but the two sides can work towards a deal that’s a little more palatable given his underwhelming production.
The deal presents a number of interesting talking points as it doesn’t clearly make the Avalanche significantly better on the surface but there are some very real upsides. For one, Burakovsky has great size, standing at 6’3″ and weighing over 200 pounds. He’s a great skater at his size and possesses potentially elite shooting ability.
To that end, Burakovsky is a 12.8% shooter in his career, suggesting if he simply increased his shot volume, he could elevate himself into the class of 20-goal scorers in the league. He’s spent the majority of his career buried in Washington’s deep forward lineup and averaged a career-low 11:08 of ice time last season. In fact, through his five seasons, he’s averaged only 12:45 of ice time per game and his career high is only 13:50.
Burakovsky’s scoring rates have been solid in his career and suggest he’s a player who could do more given a more prominent role. As a player who was almost even-strength only, it will be interesting to see if the Avalanche choose to utilize him on the power play more as they look to replace Colin Wilson.
The versatility of Wilson was going to be something the Avalanche wanted to replace this summer and Burakovsky is a player who has experience playing both right and left wing so that’s another box checked.
For those looking for the upside in this deal, it has a similar feel as when the Carolina Hurricanes acquired Teuvo Teravainen from the Chicago Blackhawks a few years ago. Teravainen went on to see his offensive numbers explode when put next to similarly talented players and has become a key cog for the Hurricanes. The Avalanche are hopeful something similar comes out of acquiring Burakovsky.
Now that Burakovsky is on board, the Avalanche simply have to surround him with more talent. He has proven zero ability to drive a line on his own at a high level as most of his on-ice impacts swing towards neutral.
The expectation from the Avalanche front office that Burakovsky produce more is fine but if they don’t do more next week in free agency to give him meaningful help, they will have doomed this move from the start. Burakovsky just isn’t enough on his own to improve the top-six.
As always, I’ve included some of his fancy charts below so you can get a deeper look at who Burakovsky is.


0 Comments (13 conversations)
Troutzky
It will be interesting to see how this trade works out for us, but I’m in agreement that there’s some upside here if we can find some more talent to put around him and give him some time to find more consistency in his game. Price looks high right now, but it sounds like other teams were interested and that was probably the cost of doing business. If it works out and he gets his production up to around 20ish goals, I’d say it’s a solid trade.
Funny, I was also in the gym when this trade happened – for probably the first time in 3 months. I guess I should work out more often!! Thanks for taking the time to put this one together so quickly.
Abacon21
Interesting move. Seems like a steep price. Especially considering the Avs have failed just about every time I can think of when they try and pick up a reclamation project from another team. Sounds like he has an upside though. Hopefully Bednar actually utilizes him and he isn’t stuck playing 11 minutes a night like he was with the Caps. I think they still need one more proven winger if we can grab one Monday. At least he’s young and has an upside. I hope this one works out.
Pucklehead
Nice analysis…I am not an AJ groupie…
Is red or blue preferable in the charts?
Wait, I have groupies?!
On offense you want red, defense you want blue. So his results are very good defensively, poor offensively.
Audioveins
A 2nd too expensive
Dillygoose
At first, like most of us, I thought the price of a second and a third was way too steep. Then I was thinking why didnt we just offer sheet him? So I looked and according to Gord Miller at TSN the comp for up to 4.227 million = 2nd and anything over that is a first and a third. Since the Capitals smartly qualified him so high it would require a team to overpay him drastically to get him and they might even have to go over 4.227 depending on how the Capitals felt. So maybe by giving a 2nd and third it allows them to get the player and then negotiate a lower salary which in the next few years could be more important than two more OK players to fill the system who will be 6 or 7 yrs younger than McKinnon. Could this be the case or am I missing something? If they do negotiate a longer and cheaper contract this trade could have added value. Bright side?
ColoradoCartography
Shaking my head…
Hockeyhead
My initial reaction was REALLY a 2nd and a 3rd for a bottom six player? Is Sakic eating edibles??
Maybe after the initial FA discussion week, Sakic realizes that he can’t get Panarin, Lee, Nyquist, Pavelski etc.. so he is gambling on AB’s untapped potential. If Burakovsky doesn’t become a top six 2nd line forward that can score 20 plus goals this trade will be a bust. AB needs to become a net front presence for us and all around skilled physical force for us. I hope the term and AAV are good for the Avs and fair for AB.Trades like this seem to slow down the development and opportunity of our farm system players and have the added expense of not adding future draft picks to the farm system pipe line. The jury is really out on this one.
Rich
Great trade by Sakic I believe he is going to make strides outside of what he couldn’t do while with the Capitals!
Hockeyhead
That is the hope, that he was just buried in a bottom six role on a top six heavy talented team. I hope he can stay healthy and become a solid top six player for the Avs. I do like his size, speed and that he can shoot the puck. I hope he does that a lot. I also like that he has a Stanley cup ring.
tkredbrewer
High risk high reward… So that remains to be seen, but it sounds like the actual good fa’s aren’t interested in coming here, and that remains troubling. I hope to be proven wrong of course, but no one the avs have signed recently got me excited. Gotta go back to sakics playing days for that. Honestly I’m just hoping they didn’t clear sodas cap money for nothing.
Sunfunbun
I’d rather we signed Wilson and kept the picks.
earl08
Fine with it. I hope Bura produces like Nyquist: a 45pt winger.
Bgravel
What about day 3 and 3×3 games last night!?! No posdcast nothing ?
We felt the midday Burakovsky stuff took precedent. Day 3 was the same as Days 1 and 2 though
Raz
I don’t get this signing at all. I DO have faith in Joe but I’ll be honest…. On first read of his I am like, “wth???” Too many ifs for my taste, given how many ifs we’ve seen not pan out.