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Picking the biggest week of college football games yet

Andre Simone Avatar
November 10, 2017
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Welcome back, for another week of college football picks.

Last time we gave this a shot we were riding high after two big winning weeks, but sadly we regressed going 2-4 with some big game hunting failing us, and some miserable luck in razor-thin losses with our other picks. Then again luck can’t always go your way. That’s ok though, as we’re still 25-21 on the season.

Week 11 promises to be particularly entertaining with lots of big games between top 25 teams and some under the radar picks we love as well. That’s why we’re firing up seven picks on the week for you. Here we go.

Picks of the week

South Carolina -5.5 versus Florida

The Gamecocks are 6-and-3 on the year and have won three of their last four with their one loss coming against the top-ranked team in the country with a respectable 14 point loss at Georgia.

They might not be playing exciting football but they’re getting the job done offensively and are pretty good defensively, against a Gators team that’s completely imploding and just lost to Missouri by 29 points, that’s all it’ll take. Florida’s lost four in a row and is still searching for answers offensively. On the road against a competent South Carolina team that’s coached by their former head coach who has intimate knowledge of their defense, they seem like an easy bet to cover the spread.

On the road against a competent South Carolina team that’s coached by their former head coach who has intimate knowledge of their defense, they seem like an easy bet to cover the spread.

Georgia Tech +3 versus Virginia Tech

This is a pick our numbers suggested and at first, it seemed crazy, but look at the previous meetings and it looks a lot more reasonable. The Yellow Jackets have actually won three of the last four encounters and all have been incredibly close.

With this being played at GA Tech it seems like a sensible bet. The Hokies have a very good defense, but things change when you face Georgia Tech’s triple-option attack. Va Tech’s scheme has been the same for years and they still haven’t figured out how to stop the option attack, don’t count on that trend to end now.

Colorado State +6 versus Boise State

Boise State started off a bit slow but has since picked up their game in Mountain West conference play. Thing is, they haven’t faced a passing offense as explosive as the Rams and they’re on the road.

While the Broncos have played well their defense or offense don’t stand out. Their pass defense especially is middle of the road and ranks 43rd in the country. That might not cut it against the Rams 13th ranked passing attack led by the nation’s leading receiver in Michael Gallup.

Our numbers like the home team as well and while Colorado State’s lost two in a row they’ve shown they are a better team than that. Look for them to get back on track and cover the spread.

NC State -3 at Boston College

We’ve enjoyed betting on the Wolfpack this year and until our last go around where they lost us money they’ve done pretty well.

After a really impressive showing against Clemson a week ago, where they easily could have won had a few breaks gone their way, seeing them as only 3 point favorites against a BC team that’s having a down year is surprising.

NC State has one of the best defenses in the country based on pure talent and their offense has been playing well led by quarterback Ryan Finley. BC’s defense hasn’t been to the standard of the last two seasons and offensively they just can’t cut it. The 23rd-ranked Wolfpack should win handily here even if they’re on the road.

Big game hunting 

Michigan State +16.5 at Ohio State

This is another head-scratching line as Ohio State is clearly the more talented team but 16.5 is just silly. All it takes is looking at the previous meetings between these two teams to see that. Just a year ago when the Spartans where in the middle of an awful 3-9 campaign the Buckeyes only won by one point with Michigan State failing a two-point conversion at the very end. In their last four meetings, they’ve gone 2-2 with the biggest margin of victory being a 12-point win by the Bucs back in their 2015 national championship winning season.

You see my point, no matter what 16.5 is just too big a margin especially with how well the Spartans are actually playing this season. What’s made Michigan State so good is the return of their defense, particularly on the ground where they’re the third-best unit in the FBS.

That’ll put lots of pressure on Ohio State quarterback J.T. Barrett to play with consistency and stay error-free, something he’s struggled with against the best defenses he’s faced.

An upset by the Spartans on the road is likely too much to ask, but covering the 16.5 point spread should almost be expected.

Iowa State +6.5 versus Oklahoma State

Boy, these Cyclones have been fun this year and they’ve shown themselves to be really tough. Even last week as they lost on the road in West Virginia they were in it until the very end. Which is why in Ames, Iowa against the inconsistent Cowboys we like our chances.

Oklahoma State has the horses on offense to put up points against your typical Big 12 defenses but that hasn’t been the Cyclones this year who are actually playing tough as nails on ‘D’, allowing only 19 per game despite facing Oklahoma and TCU’s dynamic offenses already.

The last two years OSU’s scraped by with close wins of 7 and 5 points respectively if they underestimate this team they’ll get upset. Even if the Cowboys come out ready to roll this should be a nail-biter that could be decided by a field goal or less.

Auburn +2.5 versus Georgia

This is the game of the week as the top-ranked Bulldogs put it all on the line in a road game at Auburn. This should be a grind out it SEC bloodbath with two great defenses and a couple of imposing run games going head to head.

What gives Auburn a chance is that for starters they’re more diverse offensively which will help them against this caliber of defense. While Georgia’s been able to hide their freshman quarterback pretty well this year, it might finally catch up to them in this big road game. Gus Malzahn’s shown in the past he can be creative and beat Kirby Smart’s defenses in big games when the two faced off in the Iron Bowl. With the Tigers quarterback Jarrett Stidham hitting his stride just at the right time, we like these home dogs to pull off a playoff altering upset on Saturday.

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