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DNVR Avalanche Podcast: First Look Mock Draft

May 16, 2020
DNVR Avalanche Podcast: First Look Mock Draft

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NoMoreRats

NoMoreRats

May 18, 2020

Saw someone claim recently (can’t remember who or where) that Jack Hughes had the worst rookie season for a #1 overall since Patrik Stefan. I know that the cult of personality around him all couched their bets by saying he was the type of player who probably wouldn’t have a great first season but did any of them think it would be as bad as it was? Every time I saw him he looked defensively inept and not able to make any sort of impression offensively.

NoMoreRats Replying to NoMoreRats

May 18, 2020

Nobody had ever made the jump from the USHL to the NHL before so the expectation was a tough go of it in year one. I said I expected him to have a Stamkos-esque first year and even that proved to be a little too much to handle. It was always going to be a major adjustment for him.

Underlying numbers show he definitely struggled but also got very unlucky along the way (anecdotally, I remember him being on the wrong end of multiple “save of the night” candidates throughout the year) as the Devils had an on-ice shooting % of just 5(!!) with Hughes out there. For comparison’s sake, Mikko Rantanen’s rookie year on one of the worst/unluckiest offensive teams in recent NHL history was buoyed by an on-ice shooting percentage of 8.06.

There’s a lot of work to be done and this pandemic might put a dagger in some key development opportunities so year two may not be a major leap, either. It’s obviously still early but for a small player who was going to struggle with increased physicality, it wasn’t a surprise to see him struggle the way he did.

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